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人民币升值下产业结构调整-

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论文导读:vesthattheoriginoftheproblemthattheyuanisundervaluedliesinthepressureoftheGovernmentofJapanandtheUnitedStates,andinoursignificantlyincreasedforeignexchangereserves.2.BriefReviewofJapaneseYenAppreciationInSeptember1985,fivedevelopedcountries,including
摘要:人民币从2005年7月21日开始进入上升通道,冲击了我国劳动密集型的出口企业。升值幅度如何,时机如何,都影响到产业格局的调整,挖掘人民币升值与产业结构调整之间的关系。我们通过对日本在处理货币升值时的不同思路与实现的效果,从中获得启示。并结合中国现在的状况,对于在现在人民币汇率变动下的产业结构调整提出建议。
关键词:人民币升值;产业结构调整;国际贸易;日元升值;产业政策

1.Background

The US-led governments he been advocating that the RMB yuan is unde7彩论文网自考论文www.7ctime.com
rvalued and asked sharp appreciation of the yuan. Most scholars believe that the RMB appreciation is because in the context of the global financial crisis, Chinese domestic economy maitains rapid growth and the U.S. economy shows a declining trend . The formed gap between China and US, coupled with Chinese long-term imbalances and huge foreign exchange reserve as well as domestic rising interest rates.Justin Lin proved in '' recommendations for RMB exchange rate issue and the policy '' that the value of the renminbi is not underestimated, and he believes that the origin of the problem that the yuan is undervalued lies in the pressure of the Government of Japan and the United States, and in our significantly increased foreign exchange reserves.
2.Brief Review of Japanese Yen Appreciation
In September 1985, five developed countries,including the United States, Japan, West Germany, Britain and France,signed an agreement in New York''s Plaza Hotel, and agreed to promote the appreciation of the yen, marks and other non-dollar currencies.The agreement signed was called the "Plaza Agreement".Afterwards,the central banks began to implement a large-scale collaborative interventions, and Japan sold a lot of dollars in the foreign exchange market,which led the yen to soar. With an unexpected drop of oil prices in early 1986, the promising Japanese economy stimulated the appreciation of the yen sharply.

3.Inspiration from Yen Appreciation

3.1 Current Chinese Industrial Structure

Chinese industrial structure is very unreasonable in almost every national industrial structure , including the first, second, third industrial structures,traditional and new industrial structures,and labor-intensive,technology-intensive and capital -intensive industrial structures.Under strike of the global financial crisis,the severe degree of unreasonable structures becomes more prominent,which are manifested by the serious overcapacity and repeated construction .
3.2 Comparison between Current China and Japan in 1960s
China and Japan are different in the external environment and pressure.In 1980s, the multiple difficulties of the U.S. Economy made Japan face a lot of external pr论文导读:appreciationeffectsoninternationaltrades.Inaddition,liberalizationofthecurrencyintheprocessofindustrialrestructurewhichcanpromoterapideconomicdevelopmentisanothergoodidea.REFERENCE:JustinLin.PolicySuggestionforAppreciationofRMB.WorldEconmy.2007(3)3-12.
essures, which led to the "Plaza Agreement". From the study of historical experience and Sino-US interdependence economic relations, the significant appreciation can not become a bargaining chip between the two countries.China and Japan are different in the internal economic structure.With a closer look at today''s Chinese economy,compared to Japan at the time, we are still far,indicated from indexs such as per capita GDP,proportion of agricultural labor force,and the percentage of R & D expenses in GDP.
However, there are also somethings in common between China and Japan,such as rapid economic development, the export-oriented policy and high摘自:7彩论文网毕业论文翻译www.7ctime.com
sings rates;there exists apital control to maintain a fixed exchange rate, inflationary pressure,huge foreign exchange reserve,the dilemma in real estate bubble.
3.3Inspiration From the Appreciation of Yen
Japan in the face of their appreciated currencies, launched a plan for industrial upgrading and adjustment with appropriate monetary policies to match, and tried to increase foreign investment to improve the profitability of domestic enterprises. We should focus on high-tech development, the added value of industry improvement, development of tertiary industries,and establishment of a good financial system to offset the appreciation effects on international trades. In addition, liberalization of the currency in the process of industrial restructure which can promote rapid economic development is another good idea.
REFERENCE:
Justin Lin .Policy Suggestion for Appreciation of RMB [J].World Econmy.2007(3)3-12.
Baoliang Zhu .The influence of appreciation of RMB [EB/OL].news.xinhuanet.com/banyt/2008-05/27/content_8260475.htm.2008-05-27/2012-2-17.